1/26/18 Market Update

Current Positions:

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: +0.56%. Plan: Sell at Target 1: $113.16.    Earnings: 6 Feb

$DNKN:  3 March 67.5 Calls.  Current Status:  +12.3%.  Plan:  Target 1:  70.82

$IWM:  2 March $157 calls.  Current Status: One call @ +25%  Target: $162.09

 

$C:  2 March $77.5 calls.  Current status:  CLOSED +18.8% Target 1: $79.64  Target 2: $81.97  Earnings: April

$MCD:  2 February $175 calls.  Current Status: CLOSED -3.2%

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: 2nd contract +97.4%. CLOSED

NEW:

$AXP:  2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: -3.9%   Target 1:  $102.37  Target 2: $104.94 Target 3: 108.26

 

In addition to the above, I also cover: $SPY, $QQQ, $CAT $DE $EBAY $FCX $TSLA

Video here:

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1/23/18 Market Update

Current Positions:

$AAPL: 2 February $180 calls.  Current Status: -17.9%.  Target 1:  182.13   Target 2: 189.59  Earnings:  1 February

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: +0.55%. Plan: Sell at Target 1: $113.16.    Earnings: 6 Feb

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: 2nd contract +81.58% Plan:  Sell at Target 2: 108.69  Earnings:  15 Feb

$WYNN: 1 February $175 calls  Current Status: +138.5%  CLOSED

New:

$C:  2 March $77.5 calls.  Current status:  +6.7% Target 1: $79.64  Target 2: $81.97  Earnings: April

$EBAY: 2 February $38 calls.  Current status: +19.3%  Target: $40.12
Earnings:  31 January

$IWM:  2 March $157 calls.  Current Status: +27.2%  Target: $162.09

$MCD:  2 February $175 calls.  Current Status: -0.74%  Target 1:  $179.06  Target 2:  $183.31 Earnings:  30 January

 

In addition to the above, I also cover: $SPY, $QQQ, $FCX, $FB $KORS, $KO $LULU, $TSLA

Videos here (parts 1 and 2)

1/22/18 Market Update

Current Positions:

$AAPL: 2 February $180 calls.  Current Status: +2.38%.  Target 1:  182.13   Target 2: 189.59  Earnings:  1 February

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: +0.55%. Plan: Sell at Target 1: $113.16.    Earnings: 6 Feb

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: 2nd contract +66.5% Plan:  Sell at Target 2: 108.69  Earnings:  15 Feb

$WYNN: 1 February $175 calls  Current Status: +57.26%  Plan:  Target 1: 178.35  Target 2: 188.58.  Earnings:  1 Feb

New:

$C:  2 March $77.5 calls.  Current status:  +1.72% Target 1: $79.64  Target 2: $81.97  Earnings: April

$EBAY: 2 February $38 calls.  Current status: -19.6%  Target: $40.12
Earnings:  31 January

$IWM:  2 March $157 calls.  Current Status: +14.7%  Target: $162.09

$MCD:  2 February $175 calls.  Current Status: 0%  Target 1:  $179.06  Target 2:  $183.31 Earnings:  30 January

 

In addition to the above, I also cover: $SPY, $QQQ, $FCX, $KORS, $LULU, $TSLA

Video here

1/19/18 – Market Update

Current Positions:

$AAPL: 2 February $180 calls.  Current Status: +18.5%.  Target 1:  182.13   Target 2: 189.59  Earnings:  1 February

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: +0.4%. Plan: Sell at Target 1: $113.16.    Earnings: 6 Feb

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: 2nd contract +64% Plan:  Sell at Target 2: 108.69  Earnings:  15 Feb

$WYNN: 1 February $175 calls  Current Status: +17%  Plan:  Target 1: 178.35  Target 2: 188.58.  Earnings:  1 Feb

 

In addition to the above, I also cover: $SPY, $QQQ, $C, $DNKN, $EBAY, $IP, $IWM, $MCD, $MMM, $TSLA

Video here: https://youtu.be/c80SVbCb8Aw

1/18/18 Market Update

Current Positions:

$AAPL: 2 February $180 calls.  Current Status: +19%.  Target 1:  182.13   Target 2: 189.59  Earnings:  1 February

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: +1.8%. Plan: Sell at Target 1: $113.16.    Earnings: 6 Feb

$HD: 2 February $195 calls.  Current Status:  Second contract status:  +49% CLOSED Plan:  Target 2: $202.27.    Earnings:  13 Feb

$JNJ: 2 February $145 calls.  Current Status:  +26% CLOSED Earnings: 23 January.

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: 30%; 1 contract sold for 30% Plan:  Sell at Target 2: 108.69  Earnings:  15 Feb

 

See today’s video for details:

1/17/18 Stock Picks

Current Positions:

$AAPL: 2 February $180 calls.  Current Status:  -17%.  Plan:  I entered Apple via the 5minute rule, but it did not hold its gains.  It closed right around the breakout level, so I’m looking for a bounce tomorrow.    Earnings:  1 February

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: 0.82%. Plan: Sell at Target 1: $113.16.     Well, I put in a limit order for 113.10, but not in time for it to execute.  It was my own fault for not putting in the order prior to market open.  Now I’ll wait to see if it bounces off of the ascending triangle. Earnings: 6 Feb

$HD: 2 February $195 calls.  Current Status:  Second contract status:  +26%.  Plan: Another ugly candle today, but still not breaking any trends. Target 2: $202.27.    Earnings:  13 Feb

$JNJ: 2 February $145 calls.  Current Status:  +23%Plan:  Trim 1 call at Target 1: 148.63.  Ensure position is closed prior to earnings.  The gains didn’t quite hold, but better than a lot of other stocks today.  Still looking solid.  Earnings: 23 January.

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: 0%. Plan: My plan remains to trim 1 call at Target 1: $103.85.  Quite a bit of action on WMT today.  Bullish trend is still in tact. Earnings:  15 Feb

 

Please see my YouTube video for actual analysis here:

 

1/16/18 Stock Picks

On Friday, we enjoyed another solid bullish move in the  markets.  I think we’re starting to get a bit over-extended/overbought here, but by managing risk through setting stops, I’m confident in nibbling on small bullish positions.

Current Positions:

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: 2.2%. Plan: Sell at Target 1: $113.16.     Earnings: 6 Feb

$HD: 2 February $195 calls.  Current Status: Closed one contract for 35 gain%. Plan: HD had an ugly candle on Friday.  Not sure what caused the massive sell-off in the afternoon.  However, I’m still holding one contract, look at Target 2: $202.27.    Earnings:  13 Feb

$IWM: 2 March $157 calls.  Current Status: Closed position for 46% gain.  I only intended to close 1 contract, but had a lag in my app where I inadvertently sold two.  I’m tempted to get back in with one contract, but don’t want to push my luck since Target 1 was hit.  I’m very happy with the profit I locked in.

$JNJ: 2 February $145 calls.  Current Status:  +4.5%.  Plan:  Trim 1 call at Target 1: 148.63.  Ensure position is closed prior to earnings.  Earnings: 23 January.

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: 0%. Plan: My plan remains to trim 1 call at Target 1: $103.85.  Not the prettiest candle, but there’s no reason why we can’t continue higher.  Earnings:  15 Feb

Breaking Out

$AAPL:  After flirting with the line for a while, Apple finally saw a breakout.  I’m not in love with $AAPL’s price action, but I do think it’s worth taking a trade here assuming the 5 minute candle rule works out.  Target 1:  $182.13  Target2:  $189.59.AAPL

$BEAT:  I’m honestly not familiar with this company, but based on the chart, it has broken out and looks like it has room to run.  Friday was a strong candle and I’d be interested in buying shares instead of options (due to low OPT interest) assuming successful 5minute rule.  Target 1: $34.14  Target 2:  $36.42BEAT.png

$MMM: 3M had a breakout-ish candle on Friday.  Again, not the prettiest candle, but it is technically above the breakout line.  I would consider a small position based on the 5 minute rule.  Target 1:  $249.06  Target 2:  $255.33MMM.png

$PYPL:  PayPal technically broke out on Thursday, with confirmation on Friday.  5 minute rule to get in on the action.  Target 1:  $82.27   Target 2:  $86.02PYPL.png

Other Types of Breakouts

$C:  Citigroup broke out of it’s wedge/triangle pattern on Friday.  Although it still needs to get through it’s breakout price level ($77.83), the fact it broke bullishly from the pattern is a positive sign.  I would consider getting in tomorrow based on the 5 minute rule.  Target 1:  $79.64.    Target 2:  $81.97C.png

$DNKN:  Who doesn’t like Dunkin Donuts? haha  Well even if you’re not a fan, you should like the strong bounce off of the 50% Fib re-tracement price.  Once again, observe the 5 minute rule, and if it permits, get in the trade.  Breakout line:  $66.43   Target 1: $68.35  Target 2:  $70.82.DNKN.png

 

1/12

After a pause on the 10th, the market had a powerfully bullish day yesterday on average volume.  I’m looking for more upside today.

Current Positions:

$DIS: 25 shares.  Current Status: +.91%. Plan: sell at Target 1: $113.16.     Disney looks to have bounced off of it’s ascending trend line and is set to run.  Earnings: 6 Feb

$HD: 2 February $195 calls.  Current Status: +6.16%. Plan: Trim 1 call on the way to Target 2: $202.27.   Home Depot had a nice strong day pushing above the stagnancy of the last few days.  This ought to be the start of another leg up.  Earnings:  13 Feb

$IWM: 2 March $157 calls.  Current Status: +52.21%. Plan: Trim 1 call at Target 1: $158.28.  Big breakout today.  Lot’s of room to run.  I like this position.  Earnings:

$WMT: 2 March $100 calls.  Current Status: -8.55%. Plan: Trim 1 call at Target 1: $103.85. Walmart filled the gap and then back tested.  I’ll be watching it rather closes as it needs to show it can break out.  Earnings:  15 Feb

What I’m Watching Today:

$CAT:  This one is a bit risky since it passed it’s first target, but the stock has been so strong, it’s difficult to ignore.  I’m thinking of either buying 1 ITM call or buying a couple of OTM calls with a target of $175.81.CAT

$JNJ:  Johnson & Johnson closed above the “breakout” line yesterday.  I’ll be watching on the 5min chart for a close above the first 5min candle before getting in.  I think this play has some good potential to run.  Target1:  $148.63  Target2:  $154.01.JNJ.png

$MMM:  3M has been a very strong stock in the intermediate term and showed strength yesterday after a weak Wednesday.  I don’t expect to get into this trade today, but I’ll be watching for a close above the “breakout” line of $244.19.MMM.png

$SBUX: Starbucks is back on my radar and is setting up for a breakout.  Again, I’m not crazy about this stock due to over head resistance, but I will keep an eye on it.  Target 1:  $61.13   Target 2:  $62.58SBUX.png

 

 

April 5 Update

Hello all,

I’ve been keeping an eye on the market and it seems as though we are at or very close to a breaking point on a descending triangle.  This is true both of the DOW and the S&P.  Will we bounce or will we push lower?  There’s no answer to that until it actually happens.  Once it does happen, the direction of the market will become more clear and trades with low risk and high reward can be taken.

On a side note, with the addition of $AAPL to the DOW, I believe the S&P is a better indicator of overall market health.  So any time I reference “the market”, I am talking about the S&P unless otherwise specified.

A number of stocks are at key support levels, some are in bollinger band squeezes, and others are in existing down-trends.  Let’s take a look at a couple of stocks exhibiting this behavior:

$JNJ:

As can be seen, $JNJ has been in a down trend in recent months.  It appeared to have formed a double bottom, but it is about to retest that bottom.  $JNJ was in a downward channel, but made a higher high and slightly broke out of the channel which is slightly concerning.  However, if it breaks and closes below $98, I’m looking for a swing trade over the course of a week or two down to $95.  MACD is already looking slightly bearish and a close below $98 should support a short trade.  The other way to play this stock is to go long if it bounces off $98, but that would be a counter trend trade and would require a tight stop.  JNJ$LVS is another stock in a downward trend worth looking at.

$FSLR:

This stock does not necessarily follow the trend of the overall market.  As a matter of fact, it has been in a side-ways pattern for around a month or so and is now in a bollinger-band squeeze.  Whichever way it breaks out of the band is the direction I would take the trade.  However, I would start with a small position due to the possibility of a “head fake”.FSLR$HES is a stock just about to enter into a bollinger band squeeze.

$EXPE

$EXPE is a great example of a stock breaking out.  The only thing I am concerned with is if the market pushes lower, the breakout could fizzle.  A low risk trade would be watching for $EXPE to come back to $96.74 before getting in and keeping a tight stop.  You may miss the move with this approach, so the alternative is to get in at market open understanding that you’ll want a wide stop.EXPE

$EBAY:

$EBAY is and has been in a nice uptrend.  It sits on the ascending trend line and is a good low risk/reward play.  However, this one may also depend on the direction of the market.  MACD is looking bearish so the stock may roll over.  If it does $55.50 is the first target.  $54.00 is the second.  If we get a bounce, $59.70 looks likely as a first target.EBAY$BBY is another stock in a similar up-trend.

That wraps up this update.  Have a great night, hope you had a happy Easter.  Good night and happy trading!